On October 20th the Real Clear Politics poll average had Michigan being a solid blue state. Hillary Clinton held a 12 point lead over Donald Trump heading into the final weeks of the election, and it seemed as if the state was all but locked up for the former Secretary of State. As of November 6th, just two days before election day, and three weeks after Clinton held firm control of Michigan, the RCP average has Clinton leading by less than 5 points, with some polls showing less than a 2 point difference. Trump controls momentum in the state, and both campaigns have committed their full attention to it.

There is a scramble for the state of Michigan, and the proof lies in the politicians from both parties that are spending the final two days of the election across the state. Bill Clinton spent Sunday trying to get out the vote in Lansing, and President Obama will be in Ann Arbor on Monday to try to increase student turnout for Tuesday’s election. Hillary Clinton will also be in the state, holding a rally in Grand Rapids, the same city that Donald Trump plans to be in on Monday night. Other supporters for the Trump campaign include his daughter Ivanka, who was in Troy last week and will be in Hudson on Monday, former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin who spoke in Detroit Sunday, and Vice Presidential candidate Mike Pence who will join Trump at his rally in Grand Rapids.

It is very apparent that Michigan is the top priority for both campaigns at this point. The swing state carries 16 electoral votes, and is very much up for grabs. RNC Chair Reince Priebus stated on Face the Nation that the RNC “believes… Michigan could quickly move onto [their] board” and expressed that they have spent “millions and millions of dollars” on the operations in the state.

Michigan is a state that has voted for a Democrat in every election since 1988 but has consistently elected Republican legislatures. Part of the success the Democratic Party has had in winning presidential elections has been the high turnout from African American voters, which the Clinton campaign is unsure of in this election. Bill and Hillary Clinton’s stops in predominately African American districts, including a visit with black ministers and a get out the vote rally in Detroit have shown the importance of the black voter turnout on Tuesday. If Michigan experiences similar voter turnout to what Obama had in 2012, Clinton should win the state. However, if Clinton can’t reach those totals then an invigorated Republican base may flip the state to Trump.

At this point in the campaigns, nothing is more telling than the actions of the candidates. Polls may not have Michigan as one of the tightest states, but it is clear the both campaigns believe it to be in play. Clinton may have taken this state for granted, and if she did then it could prove very costly. Michigan might just be what puts Trump over the top.